SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
36.92% ( 0.01) | 23.83% ( -0) | 39.24% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( 0.02) | 40.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( 0.02) | 62.41% ( -0.02) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( 0.01) | 21.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( 0.02) | 54.95% ( -0.02) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( 0.01) | 20.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.8% ( 0.01) | 53.19% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.92% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.24% |
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