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PL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
M

PSG
2 - 1
Marseille

Neymar (12'), Mbappe (45+4' pen.)
Verratti (17'), Mendes (37'), Gueye (46'), Neymar (55'), Mbappe (90+1'), Donnarumma (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Caleta-Car (31')
Gerson (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Marseille

Marseille's remarkable winning run is something to behold, and they have refused to let the European fatigue affect them thus far; giving their impassioned fanbase genuine belief that a famous Parc des Princes victory could be on the cards. While Les Olympiens continue to produce the goods on the road, PSG have been largely unplayable at home, are well-rested and are witnessing their front three combine just as they had dreamt of, so we can only back Pochettino's side to take one more step towards the crown and end Marseille's streak of victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMarseille
62.13%21.46%16.41%
Both teams to score 49.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28%46.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01%68.98%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52%14.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.55%42.45%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39%41.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9%78.09%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 62.12%
    Marseille 16.41%
    Draw 21.45%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 6.36%
4-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.79%
5-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 62.12%
1-1 @ 10.2%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.45%
0-1 @ 5.28%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.32%
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Clermont 1-6 PSG
Saturday, April 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 5-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-0 PSG
Sunday, March 20 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-0 Bordeaux
Sunday, March 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 PSG
Wednesday, March 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nice 1-0 PSG
Saturday, March 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PAOK 0-1 Marseille
Thursday, April 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, April 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PAOK
Thursday, April 7 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Etienne 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, April 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Basel 1-2 Marseille
Thursday, March 17 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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