SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
27.9% ( 0.02) | 21.66% ( -0) | 50.44% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.08% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.86% ( 0.02) | 33.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.11% ( 0.02) | 54.88% ( -0.02) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.02) | 23.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( 0.03) | 57.6% ( -0.03) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( -0) | 13.57% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.33% ( -0) | 40.67% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.9% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.44% |
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