SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Algeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Algeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Angola |
30.14% ( 0.04) | 29.27% ( -0.01) | 40.58% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.56% ( 0.05) | 63.43% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.22% ( 0.04) | 82.78% ( -0.04) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% ( 0.05) | 37.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.51% ( 0.06) | 74.48% ( -0.06) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( 0.01) | 30.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( 0.01) | 66.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 30.14% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.27% | 0-1 @ 13.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 40.58% |
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