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Friendlies 3
Oct 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Al Bachir
MN
Mauritania
2 - 1
Madagascar
Anne (28'), Tanjy (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Anicet (90+5')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mauritania and Madagascar.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Gabon
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Madagascar
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.

Result
MauritaniaDrawMadagascar
44.67% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 29.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.76% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 40.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.46% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)84.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)29.64% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)65.68% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (0.064999999999998 0.06)42.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (0.055 0.05)79.15% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 44.66%
    Madagascar 25.76%
    Draw 29.57%
MauritaniaDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 15.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.69%
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Gabon
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Mauritania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 1-1 Congo DR
Tuesday, March 28 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Mauritania
Friday, March 24 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, January 24 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Madagascar
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Ghana
Sunday, June 18 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 CAR
Thursday, March 23 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Madagascar
Friday, February 3 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Madagascar
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

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