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Friendlies 3
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Pere-Jego
BF

Mauritania
1 - 2
Burkina Faso

Ibnou Ba (65')
Kabore (58'), Tanjy (70'), Anne (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Konate (18'), Aziz Ki (47')
Ouedraogo (42')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mauritania and Burkina Faso.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Madagascar
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Burkina Faso
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.1%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
MauritaniaDrawBurkina Faso
45.01% (-0.778 -0.78) 31.03% (0.467 0.47) 23.96% (0.311 0.31)
Both teams to score 35.85% (-0.724 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.37% (-1.009 -1.01)70.63% (1.008 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.36% (-0.643 -0.64)87.64% (0.643 0.64)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.96499999999999 -0.96)31.88% (0.966 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-1.119 -1.12)68.33% (1.118 1.12)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.63% (-0.311 -0.31)47.37% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.24% (-0.233 -0.23)82.76% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 45.01%
    Burkina Faso 23.95%
    Draw 31.03%
MauritaniaDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 17.26% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 45.01%
0-0 @ 15.1% (0.56 0.56)
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.76% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 31.03%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Madagascar
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Gabon
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Mauritania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 1-1 Congo DR
Tuesday, March 28 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Mauritania
Friday, March 24 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Burkina Faso
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 3-1 Burkina Faso
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Togo
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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