Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 76.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 6.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.97%) and 3-0 (11.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.54%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Angola | Draw | Mauritania |
76.05% ( 0.41) | 17.06% ( -0.33) | 6.88% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 32.81% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.77% ( 0.94) | 52.23% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% ( 0.8) | 73.94% ( -0.81) |
Angola Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.97% ( 0.39) | 12.03% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.49% ( 0.82) | 37.51% ( -0.82) |
Mauritania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.3% ( 0.33) | 62.7% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.03% ( 0.16) | 91.97% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Angola | Draw | Mauritania |
2-0 @ 16.91% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 15.97% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 76.05% | 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.29) 1-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.06% | 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 6.88% |
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