SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.41%) and 3-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Mauritania |
71.04% ( 0.19) | 19.42% ( -0.12) | 9.54% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.07% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( 0.26) | 53.35% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( 0.22) | 74.89% ( -0.22) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( 0.14) | 13.84% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.8% ( 0.28) | 41.2% ( -0.28) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.03% ( 0.01) | 56.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.97% ( 0) | 89.03% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 15.59% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 15.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 71.03% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 9.54% |
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