SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angola | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 46.44%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.12%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Mauritania |
46.44% ( -0.34) | 30.81% ( 0.46) | 22.75% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 35.39% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.32% ( -1.2) | 70.68% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.33% ( -0.77) | 87.66% ( 0.76) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.82) | 31.12% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -0.96) | 67.44% ( 0.96) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% ( -0.86) | 48.61% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% ( -0.63) | 83.68% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Mauritania |
| 1-0 @ 17.66% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.91% Total : 46.43% | 0-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.65) 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.26% Total : 30.8% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.75% |
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