Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.04) 
