Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
-1.38) 
0.07) 
