SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.56%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 1-0 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metropolitanos | Draw | Lanus |
28.3% ( 0.16) | 29.13% ( -0.01) | 42.56% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.74% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.42% ( 0.11) | 63.57% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.12% ( 0.08) | 82.88% ( -0.08) |
| Metropolitanos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.19) | 39.26% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( 0.18) | 75.97% ( -0.18) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.03) | 29.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( -0.03) | 65.66% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metropolitanos | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 28.3% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 14.15% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 42.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
