Metz will be desperate to get back to winning ways after a frustrating match at Lille, and we believe that Les Grenats will have enough equality to cause their visitors issues.
Brest face a quick turnaround following Thursday's meeting with Strasbourg, and we feel that the proximity of Sunday's clash to their last could lead to a sluggish performance.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.03) 
