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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
CF

Metz
1 - 0
Clermont

Mikautadze (33' pen.)
Jean Jacques (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Matsima (45'), Borges (54'), Carpini (60'), Gastien (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 1-1 Clermont

Metz will have taken plenty of confidence from returning to winning ways last weekend, and they will be viewing this match as the perfect opportunity to cut the gap to the teams ahead of them. However, Clermont should not be underestimated given their high performance levels last season, especially as this game could be their last chance saloon in terms of saving themselves from relegation. We can envisage a nervy draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
MetzDrawClermont
46.69% (-0.762 -0.76) 26.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.58% (0.742 0.74)
Both teams to score 48.1% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75% (0.375 0.38)56.25% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (0.303 0.3)77.29% (-0.298 -0.3)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (-0.193 -0.19)24.08% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)58.36% (0.285 0.28)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.838 0.84)36.65% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.831 0.83)73.44% (-0.82599999999999 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Metz 46.69%
    Clermont 26.58%
    Draw 26.73%
MetzDrawClermont
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lyon
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Metz
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Metz
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Metz
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Clermont
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Brest
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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