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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
L

Metz
1 - 2
Lyon

Mikautadze (13')
Camara (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lacazette (45+1'), Benrahma (60')
Mata (73'), O'Brien (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Metz
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Nice
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 0-2 Lyon

Lyon may have lost their dominant streak against a side who used to prove no match for them, but with the form book on their side as well as the return of O'Brien - a towering figure in both boxes - another fun Friday is in store for the Gones faithful. Confidence-depleted and often leaving a lot to be desired at home, Metz should be no match for their reawakaned visitors, who ought to rise into the top 10 of the rankings while speeding up their hosts' return to the second tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawLyon
26.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 27.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 46.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.022999999999996 0.02)58.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.018999999999998 0.02)78.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)37.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.023 0.02)74.73% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)24.94% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)59.57% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Metz 26.22%
    Lyon 46.59%
    Draw 27.18%
MetzDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 26.22%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.47%
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Metz
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Metz
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Metz
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-1 Clermont (1-3 pen.)
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Nice
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Lyon
Sunday, February 11 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Rennes
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bergerac Perigord 1-2 Lyon
Friday, January 19 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France


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