Possessing home advantage, Middlesbrough will be confident of building on a point at Norwich with a Riverside success over Coventry this weekend. The Sky Blues are winless from six Championship away matches so far this season, and we expect that statistic to extend to seven games on Teesside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Coventry City
52.57% ( -0.03)	23.37% ( 0.01)	24.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.07% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37% (

-0.03)

44.63% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33% (

-0.03)

67% (

0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03% (

-0.02)

16.97% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.93% (

-0.04)

47.07% (

0.03)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52% (

32.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

69% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 52.57%

Coventry City 24.06%

Draw 23.36%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.57%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 24.06%