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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
CC

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Coventry

Archer (45+3')
Jones (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hamer (22')
Kelly (26'), McFadzean (69'), Doyle (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Monday, May 1 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Coventry City

Middlesbrough are in an unusual situation heading into this game, and Carrick may opt to field a second-string side in order to give his star men a rest ahead of the start of the playoffs next week. Coventry have their top-six fate in their own hands ahead of their trip to the Riverside, and we believe they will earn a maximum which will secure fifth place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCoventry City
50.08% (0.407 0.41) 24.81% (0.0019999999999989 0) 25.1% (-0.417 -0.42)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-0.356 -0.36)49.85% (0.348 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (-0.318 -0.32)71.85% (0.31 0.31)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (0.021999999999991 0.02)19.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.044000000000004 0.04)52.06% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)34.42% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-0.582 -0.58)71.13% (0.574 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 50.08%
    Coventry City 25.1%
    Draw 24.8%
MiddlesbroughDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.08%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Monday, May 1 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Norwich
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Reading
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Coventry
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship


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