SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millonarios | Draw | Bolivar |
52.19% ( -0.09) | 23.75% ( 0.05) | 24.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( -0.2) | 46.28% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( -0.19) | 68.57% ( 0.19) |
| Millonarios Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( -0.11) | 17.72% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% ( -0.19) | 48.38% ( 0.18) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( -0.08) | 33.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( -0.09) | 69.99% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millonarios | Draw | Bolivar |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.19% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.75% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.06% |
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