SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Millonarios |
52.05% ( -0.47) | 26.14% ( 0.14) | 21.81% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 45.15% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.28% ( -0.19) | 57.72% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.53% ( -0.15) | 78.47% ( 0.15) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( -0.28) | 22.28% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( -0.42) | 55.74% ( 0.42) |
| Millonarios Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.1% ( 0.23) | 41.89% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.66% ( 0.2) | 78.34% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Millonarios |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.13% Total : 21.81% |
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