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Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
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Bolivar
0 - 1
Internacional


Villamil (68'), Bentaberry (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (16')
Rene (30'), Mercado (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bolivar (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Bolivar 2-1 Internacional

Bolivar are expected to make it five wins from five when they host Internacional in Bolivia, with the latter's indifferent run on their travels coming back to bite them in the backside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
BolivarDrawInternacional
56.51% (0.637 0.64) 22.51% (-0.24 -0.24) 20.98% (-0.393 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.82% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65% (0.571 0.57)44.35% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (0.54900000000001 0.55)66.73% (-0.548 -0.55)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (0.414 0.41)15.5% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (0.767 0.77)44.39% (-0.764 -0.76)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)35.13% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)71.88% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 56.51%
    Internacional 20.98%
    Draw 22.5%
BolivarDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 56.51%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bolivar (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Bolivar
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 1-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-4 Bolivar
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 0-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-1 Internacional
Sunday, August 13 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 River Plate (9-8 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Corinthians
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Internacional
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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