Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Millonarios win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.57) 
0.7) 
