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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Bolivar

Bolivar win 5-4 on penalties
Fernandinho (31' pen.), Roque (67')
Fernandinho (45+2')
FT
(aet)

Bejarano (40'), da Costa (45+2'), Fernandez (70'), Bentaberry (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We say: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Bolivar (Bolivar win 4-2 on aggregate)

El Paranaense have the quality to reverse their current predicament, but their defensive frailties have been a problem, and with the momentum favouring Bolivar, we are tipping the Bolivians to move on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (5.18%).

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBolivar
60.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.42%17.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.83% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)14.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.23%38.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.51% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 60.94%
    Bolivar 17.63%
    Draw 21.42%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.49%
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.51%
5-0 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.18%
1-2 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Athletico PR
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-3 Cruzeiro
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Bolivar
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 1-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-4 Bolivar
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Bolivar
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in Copa Libertadores


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