Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.17%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
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