SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Miramar Misiones win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
59.66% ( 0) | 22.55% ( 0) | 17.78% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% ( -0.01) | 49.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( -0) | 71.1% ( 0) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% | 16.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.59% ( -0) | 45.41% ( 0) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( -0.01) | 41.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( -0.01) | 77.81% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.66% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.86% 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.78% |
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