SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
37.22% ( -0.02) | 28.15% ( 0.02) | 34.63% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.15% ( -0.05) | 58.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.65% ( -0.04) | 79.35% ( 0.04) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( -0.03) | 30.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% ( -0.04) | 66.6% ( 0.04) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -0.02) | 32.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( -0.03) | 68.52% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.63% |
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