SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro Largo |
32.21% ( -1.32) | 28.33% ( 0.07) | 39.46% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.19% ( -0.46) | 59.81% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.91% ( -0.35) | 80.09% ( 0.36) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( -1.16) | 34.2% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% ( -1.26) | 70.9% ( 1.27) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( 0.51) | 29.54% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% ( 0.62) | 65.56% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.2% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.55% Total : 39.46% |
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