SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Miramar Misiones in this match.
| Result | ||
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
38.46% ( 0.39) | 29.52% ( 0.44) | 32.02% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 43.08% ( -1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.18% ( -1.56) | 63.82% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.94% ( -1.13) | 83.06% ( 1.13) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.56) | 32.16% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( -0.64) | 68.64% ( 0.64) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% ( -1.44) | 36.5% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.71% ( -1.48) | 73.29% ( 1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.79% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.9% Total : 32.02% |
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