SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
41.69% ( 0.16) | 28.09% ( -0.15) | 30.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.52% ( 0.52) | 59.48% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.16% ( 0.4) | 79.84% ( -0.4) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.34) | 28.12% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( 0.43) | 63.79% ( -0.43) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( 0.28) | 35.49% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( 0.29) | 72.26% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.21% |
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