SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Miramar Misiones in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
31.6% ( -0.01) | 28.75% ( 0.01) | 39.64% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.01% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.6% ( -0.05) | 61.4% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.71% ( -0.04) | 81.29% ( 0.04) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( -0.03) | 35.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( -0.03) | 72.26% ( 0.03) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( -0.02) | 30.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.62% ( -0.03) | 66.38% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.59% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 39.64% |
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