SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 35.5%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (12.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
35.5% ( 0.64) | 29.98% ( -0.07) | 34.51% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 42.18% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.95% ( 0.21) | 65.05% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.07% ( 0.14) | 83.92% ( -0.14) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( 0.55) | 34.71% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% ( 0.58) | 71.44% ( -0.58) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -0.28) | 35.39% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( -0.3) | 72.15% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.98% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 34.51% |
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