SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
48.57% ( -0.4) | 27.39% ( 0.19) | 24.04% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.82% ( -0.51) | 60.18% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.62% ( -0.39) | 80.38% ( 0.39) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.42) | 24.92% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( -0.58) | 59.55% ( 0.58) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.1) | 41.11% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% ( -0.09) | 77.65% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.23% Total : 24.04% |
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