SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Miramar Misiones would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
45.15% ( 0.16) | 26.9% ( 0.23) | 27.95% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( -1.06) | 56.11% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( -0.87) | 77.18% ( 0.87) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.39) | 24.76% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( -0.55) | 59.33% ( 0.55) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.88) | 35.45% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.92) | 72.21% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.95% |
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