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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
May 19, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
CL

Wanderers
1 - 0
Cerro Largo

Vega (45+2')
Fonseca (39'), Viudez (42'), Ferreira (67'), Guzman (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereira (16'), Ferrares (39'), Prado (61')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Wanderers
Saturday, May 11 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
31.22% (-0.218 -0.22) 29.23% (0.012 0.01) 39.55% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Both teams to score 43.63% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.94% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)63.05% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.49% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)82.51% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.32% (-0.212 -0.21)36.68% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (-0.213 -0.21)73.46% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.11% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (0.091999999999999 0.09)67.43% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 31.22%
    Cerro Largo 39.55%
    Draw 29.22%
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 31.22%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.22%
0-1 @ 13.32% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 39.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Wanderers
Saturday, May 11 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Wanderers
Monday, April 29 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-2 Wanderers
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-3 Liverpool
Tuesday, April 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Wanderers
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-3 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, April 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 6 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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