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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Liverpool |
32.9% ( -0.01) | 27.87% ( -0.04) | 39.23% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.85% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.97% ( 0.16) | 58.03% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.29% ( 0.13) | 78.71% ( -0.13) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( 0.08) | 32.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( 0.09) | 69.36% ( -0.08) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0.11) | 28.8% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( 0.14) | 64.66% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.23% |
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