SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
38.54% ( -0.21) | 29.98% ( 0.1) | 31.48% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.77% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.66% ( -0.28) | 65.34% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.87% ( -0.2) | 84.13% ( 0.2) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( -0.28) | 32.9% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( -0.32) | 69.48% ( 0.32) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.26% ( -0.07) | 37.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.48% ( -0.07) | 74.52% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.97% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 31.48% |
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