SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Nacional |
36.9% ( -0.24) | 27.29% ( 0.11) | 35.81% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( -0.43) | 55.53% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( -0.36) | 76.71% ( 0.36) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( -0.35) | 28.97% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% ( -0.44) | 64.86% ( 0.44) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.13) | 29.63% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( -0.16) | 65.67% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.89% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.81% |
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