Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Defensor Sporting | Draw | Nacional |
35.54% (![]() | 27.7% (![]() | 36.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.89% (![]() | 57.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.01% (![]() | 77.99% (![]() |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.42% (![]() | 30.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.19% (![]() | 66.81% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.18% (![]() | 29.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% (![]() | 65.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Defensor Sporting | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 10.8% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.07% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.12% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 11.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.76% |
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