SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.81%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Cartagena |
51.45% ( -0.3) | 29.59% ( 0.06) | 18.96% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 34.1% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.88% ( 0.03) | 70.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.69% ( 0.02) | 87.31% ( -0.02) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.13) | 28.22% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( -0.17) | 63.93% ( 0.17) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.51% ( 0.3) | 52.49% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.67% ( 0.19) | 86.32% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 18.74% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 51.45% | 0-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 29.58% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.96% |
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