Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.81%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Cartagena
51.45% ( -0.3)	29.59% ( 0.06)	18.96% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 34.1% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.88% (

0.03)

70.12% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.69% (

0.02)

87.31% (

-0.02)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

-0.13)

28.22% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07% (

-0.17)

63.93% (

0.17)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.51% (

0.3)

52.49% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.67% (

0.19)

86.32% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 51.45%

Cartagena 18.96%

Draw 29.58%

Mirandes	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 18.74% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 51.45%	0-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 29.58%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.96%