Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Cartagena
33.17% ( 0.64)	28.6% ( 0.21)	38.22% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 45.79% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.38% (

-0.64)

60.61% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.29% (

-0.49)

80.7% (

0.48)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04% (

0.11)

33.95% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

0.12)

70.63% (

-0.12)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

-0.83)

30.67% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

-0.99)

66.92% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 33.16%

Cartagena 38.22%

Draw 28.6%

Mirandes	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.16%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.6%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.22%