SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Cartagena |
33.17% ( 0.64) | 28.6% ( 0.21) | 38.22% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.38% ( -0.64) | 60.61% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( -0.49) | 80.7% ( 0.48) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( 0.11) | 33.95% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% ( 0.12) | 70.63% ( -0.12) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( -0.83) | 30.67% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( -0.99) | 66.92% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.16% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.22% |
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