Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
0.22) 
-0.11) 
