While Reading may play their football in the league above MK Dons, they head into the weekend off the back of a poor run of form.
In contrast to their hosts, MK Dons will be full of confidence following consecutive victories, and we think that they will continue to build momentum with a win in Saturday's cup tie.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
