Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
-1.47) 
0.24) 
