Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 67.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.08) 
