Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.24) 
