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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
CL

Tigres
1 - 0
Club Leon

Gignac (9')
Samir (32'), Pizarro (41'), Gignac (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hernandez (30'), Frias (72'), Fernandez (90+6')
Rubio (90+11')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Tigres
Sunday, July 9 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 4-0 Pachuca
Tuesday, July 11 at 3am in Liga MX

We said: Tigres 2-1 Club Leon

Neither team has been defensively solid of late so we are expecting goals at both ends here. That said, we just about fancy Tigres to see off the threat of Club Leon and come away with a narrow triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigres in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tigres.

Result
TigresDrawClub Leon
56.34% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07) 24.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 19.57% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.81% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)52.6% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)74.25% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)18.52% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)49.75% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)41.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)77.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 56.34%
    Club Leon 19.57%
    Draw 24.08%
TigresDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 12.9% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 56.34%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Tigres
Sunday, July 9 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 2 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-3 Tigres
Monday, May 29 at 2.35am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-0 Guadalajara
Friday, May 26 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-1 Tigres
Sunday, May 21 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Monterrey
Thursday, May 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 4-0 Pachuca
Tuesday, July 11 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Guadalajara
Tuesday, July 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Club Leon
Monday, June 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 1 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 1-3 Atletico San Luis
Monday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 3-1 Tigres
Thursday, May 4 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League


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