SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
51.34% ( 0.03) | 22.18% ( -0.01) | 26.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.84% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.16% ( 0.03) | 36.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.98% ( 0.03) | 59.02% ( -0.03) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( 0.02) | 14.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.32% ( 0.04) | 42.67% ( -0.04) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( 0) | 26.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% ( 0) | 61.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 4.31% Total : 51.34% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.48% |
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