SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.6%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
57.6% ( 0.43) | 21.15% ( -0.09) | 21.25% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( -0.05) | 37.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40% ( -0.05) | 60% ( 0.05) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( 0.11) | 12.95% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.58% ( 0.23) | 39.42% ( -0.23) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( -0.33) | 31.12% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( -0.39) | 67.45% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.82% Total : 57.6% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 21.25% |
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