SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
53.55% ( 0.06) | 22.03% ( 0.01) | 24.42% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.14% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( -0.11) | 38.12% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% ( -0.12) | 60.39% ( 0.12) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( -0.02) | 14.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.86% ( -0.04) | 42.14% ( 0.04) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( -0.11) | 28.65% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( -0.14) | 64.46% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.28% 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.55% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 24.42% |
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