San Jose have the worst defence in MLS, conceding a league-high 63 goals, and we suspect the Caps' strong transitional game will enable them to find the back of the net several times this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
60.75% ( -0)	20.63%	18.61% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.74% (

39.26% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.41% (

61.59% (

-0)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.48% (

-0)

12.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.48% (

-0)

38.52%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

34.59% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

71.31% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 60.75%

San Jose Earthquakes 18.61%

Draw 20.63%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.57% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.77% Total : 60.75%	1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.63%	1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.61%