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League Two | Gameweek 18
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
CA

Morecambe
0 - 1
Crewe


Songo'o (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

With the Crewe Alexandra treatment room still full to the brim, there may be no immediate solution to the Railwaymen's attacking woes, especially on a ground where they have not triumphed since 2010. Low morale reserves in the Morecambe camp may mean that Tuesday's affair is not a classic, but we have faith in Brannan's men to find a way through and reignite their playoff bid in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
32.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0) 41.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 53.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)72.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.11% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.5%
    Crewe Alexandra 41.6%
    Draw 25.89%
MorecambeDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Barrow
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-2 Morecambe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Forest Green
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two


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